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Chris, Thanks for this; I think this is the point I was trying to make during the BWA meeting last night. I am not sure what it means that the time between IEEE starting
work and the 1st million units shipping is increasing but it is a metric we should consider. While I fully support working on higher speed standards, I am concerned that our standards are getting further and further ahead of our technology as we ramp up speeds.
I guess it is better to be early than late but in my opinion the multitude of simultaneous projects spreads our resources thin, makes it more difficult to justify the resources needed to develop good solutions and increases the risk of picking a non-optimal
solution. Steve Steven E. Swanson Senior Standards Manager Distinguished Associate Global Technology & Industry Standards MT&E Corning Optical Communications 4200 Corning Place Charlotte, NC 28216 t 828-901-5328 t 607-974-5757 m 607-725-1129 swansonse@xxxxxxxxxxx Standards are a bridge between markets and technologies; whoever controls the bridge controls the future… From: Chris Cole <chris.cole@xxxxxxxxxxx> Dear Industry Connections New Ethernet Applications Ad Hoc Colleagues, During this evening’s meeting, David Law asked me an excellent question about the meaning of 1st million units shipped of a given Ethernet optics speed. Since I was not allowed to finish my answer, I followed up with him off-line.
However, others in attendance may also be interested in the full answer. Let’s look at the data for 40GbE and 100GbE optics shipments as reported by LightCounting, and presented in 100 Gb/s per lane optical PHYs Study Group. http://www.ieee802.org/3/100G_OPTX/public/Mar19/cole_optx_01c_0319.pdf#page=2 What the data shows is during the year that 1st million units ship, the shipments are on a steep exponential. Therefore the difference between cumulative 1st million and 1st million in a year is small; half
a year to a year. The time between IEEE starting work and 1st million units shipping is summarized below for several Ethernet rates.
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